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ANÁLISE DO RISCO NA ELABORAÇÃO DE PROPOSTAS DE SISTEMAS DE PRODUÇÃO PARA PEQUENOS AGRICULTORES

ANÁLISE DO RISCO NA ELABORAÇÃO DE PROPOSTAS DE SISTEMAS DE PRODUÇÃO PARA PEQUENOS AGRICULTORES,SILVA NETO

ANÁLISE DO RISCO NA ELABORAÇÃO DE PROPOSTAS DE SISTEMAS DE PRODUÇÃO PARA PEQUENOS AGRICULTORES  
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ANALYSIS OF THE RISKS ON THE ELABORATION OF PROPOSALS FOR THE PRODUCTION SYSTEMS OF FARM LABORERS. The aim of this work is of analyzing the risks regarding the possibilities of income increase for farm laborers from the region of Três Passos (Rio Grande do Sul) through mathematical programming models. The risk models accounted for were: a) the variance minimization and b) the minimization of the absolute deviations. In order to get an intensification of the production systems, the introduction of a complete cycle of pig breeding and tobacco growing was carried out. The introduction of pig raising, along or not with the tobacco cultivation, permitted the accomplishment of production systems which were able to offer a fairly reasonable income to guarantee the social reproduction of the farm workers taken in consideration. Nevertheless, as pig raising was separately introduced, the production systems showed a relatively high risk. The introduction of isolated tobacco growing, by considering a 2.5 work-unit of workmanship disposability did not allow the accomplishment of production systems for subsistence farming compatible with the social reproduction of such a kind of farmers. The introduction of both alternatives proposed, pig breeding and tobacco farming, brought up a less risking production system.
Published in 2000.
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