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Analytical Model
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cumulant
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Reservoir Computing
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On the Use of Reservoir Computing in Popularity Prediction
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On the Use of Reservoir Computing in Popularity Prediction
(
Citations: 1
)
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Tingyao Wu
,
Michael Timmers
,
Danny De Vleeschauwer
,
Werner Van Leekwijck
Predicting the
life cycle
and the short-term popularity of a Web object is important for
network architecture
optimization. In this paper, we attempt to predict the popularity of a Web object given its historical access records using a novel
neural network
technique,
reservoir computing
(RC). The traces of popular videos at YouTube for five continuous months are taken as a case study. We compare RC with existing analytical models. Experimental results show that RC, given a 10-day trace composed of daily cumulative views for a video, is able to predict the next-day's popularity with less than 5% relative square errors (RSEs). It is also demonstrated that RC achieves the best prediction performance among all compared models in longer-term prediction. The advantages and limitations of using RC in popularity prediction are discussed.
Conference:
International Conference on Evolving Internet - INTERNET
, pp. 19-24, 2010
DOI:
10.1109/INTERNET.2010.13
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Citation Context
(1)
...problem in the context of multimedia content caching [
16
]...
Jeroen Famaey
,
et al.
On the merits of popularity prediction in multimedia content caching
References
(13)
Novelty and Collective Attention
(
Citations: 53
)
Fang Wu
,
Bernardo A. Huberman
Journal:
Computing Research Repository - CORR
, vol. 104, no. 45, pp. 17599-17601, 2007
I tube, you tube, everybody tubes: analyzing the world's largest user generated content video system
(
Citations: 164
)
Meeyoung Cha
,
Haewoon Kwak
,
Pablo Rodriguez
,
Yong-yeol Ahn
,
Sue Moon
Conference:
Internet Measurement Conference - IMC
, pp. 1-14, 2007
Understanding the Characteristics of Internet Short Video Sharing: YouTube as a Case Study
(
Citations: 37
)
Xu Cheng
,
Cameron Dale
,
Jiangchuan Liu
Journal:
Computing Research Repository - CORR
, vol. abs/0707.3, 2007
Predicting the popularity of online content
(
Citations: 42
)
Gábor Szabó
,
Bernardo A. Huberman
Journal:
Communications of The ACM - CACM
, vol. 53, no. 8, pp. 80-88, 2008
Analysis and Modeling of Video Popularity Evolution in Various Online Video Content Systems: Power-Law versus Exponential Decay
(
Citations: 4
)
Zlatka Avramova
,
Sabine Wittevrongel
,
H. Bruneel
,
D. De Vleeschauwer
Conference:
International Conference on Evolving Internet - INTERNET
, 2009
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Citations
(1)
On the merits of popularity prediction in multimedia content caching
Jeroen Famaey
,
Tim Wauters
,
Filip De Turck
Conference:
Integrated Network Management
, 2011